tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Rochester via New York: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:15 DCA → 07:27 JFK
    B6 254 · JetBlue · 1h 12m · 91% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 JFK → 11:20 ROC
    B6 186 · JetBlue · 1h 35m · 84% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 05mDCA 06:15 to ROC 11:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.