tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via Boston: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:42 BZN → 19:11 BOS
    B6 256 · JetBlue · 4h 29m · 68% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:14 BOS → 21:40 JFK
    B6 1117 · JetBlue · 1h 25m · 75% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 57mBZN 12:42 to JFK 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.