tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → New York via Boston: arrives on time 34%

  1. 17:25 DCA → 19:03 BOS
    B6 2954 · JetBlue · 1h 41m · 49% on time, 5.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:14 BOS → 21:40 JFK
    B6 1117 · JetBlue · 1h 25m · 75% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 14mDCA 17:25 to JFK 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.