tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Las Vegas via Boston: arrives on time 27%

  1. 17:25 DCA → 19:03 BOS
    B6 2954 · JetBlue · 1h 41m · 49% on time, 5.1% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 BOS → 22:47 LAS
    B6 777 · JetBlue · 5h 50m · 65% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 24mDCA 17:25 to LAS 22:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.