tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Chicago via Boston: arrives on time 51%

  1. 20:33 TPA → 15:27 BOS
    B6 392 · JetBlue · 3h 08m · 69% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Boston (BOS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:31 BOS → 21:00 ORD
    AA 1554 · American · 3h 29m · 61% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 1h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip1h 27mTPA 20:33 to ORD 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.