tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Raleigh/Durham via Boston: arrives on time 50%

  1. 20:33 TPA → 15:27 BOS
    B6 392 · JetBlue · 3h 08m · 69% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Boston (BOS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:15 BOS → 19:37 RDU
    DL 2782 · Delta · 2h 14m · 75% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip -64m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip-64mTPA 20:33 to RDU 19:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.