tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:40 JFK → 09:11 LAS
    B6 411 · JetBlue · 5h 31m · 94% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:10 LAS → 13:45 SJC
    WN 1242 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 05mJFK 06:40 to SJC 13:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.