tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Oakland via Las Vegas: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:40 JFK → 09:11 LAS
    B6 411 · JetBlue · 5h 31m · 94% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:50 LAS → 12:30 OAK
    WN 322 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 50mJFK 06:40 to OAK 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.