tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tampa via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 40%

  1. 15:55 LGA → 19:05 FLL
    B6 471 · JetBlue · 3h 13m · 61% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 FLL → 21:20 TPA
    B6 1905 · JetBlue · 1h 10m · 64% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 27mLGA 15:55 to TPA 21:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.