tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:39 JFK → 09:03 ATL
    B6 519 · JetBlue · 2h 26m · 76% on time, 6.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:02 ATL → 14:29 RDU
    DL 2026 · Delta · 1h 27m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (6.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 50mJFK 06:39 to RDU 14:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.