tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 40%

  1. 18:23 ATL → 21:00 JFK
    B6 520 · JetBlue · 2h 37m · 60% on time, 6.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 JFK → 00:13 BUF +1 day
    B6 102 · JetBlue · 1h 44m · 65% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 50mATL 18:23 to BUF 00:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.