tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Rochester via New York: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:23 ATL → 21:00 JFK
    B6 520 · JetBlue · 2h 37m · 60% on time, 6.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 JFK → 23:39 ROC
    B6 1186 · JetBlue · 1h 39m · 64% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 16mATL 18:23 to ROC 23:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.