tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 84%

  1. 09:45 JFK → 12:53 LAX
    B6 523 · JetBlue · 6h 08m · 83% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:43 LAX → 18:15 SMF
    DL 3712 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip11h 30mJFK 09:45 to SMF 18:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.