tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Islip → Baltimore via West Palm Beach: arrives on time 35%

  1. 14:40 ISP → 17:33 PBI
    B6 545 · JetBlue · 2h 53m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in West Palm Beach (PBI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:05 PBI → 21:35 BWI
    WN 3191 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 63% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 55mISP 14:40 to BWI 21:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.