tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → San Francisco via Boston: arrives on time 16%

  1. 16:45 TPA → 19:55 BOS
    B6 592 · JetBlue · 3h 09m · 62% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 BOS → 00:30 SFO +1 day
    B6 413 · JetBlue · 6h 35m · 31% on time, 12.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (12.9% are) and within 15 minutes (31%).
Total trip10h 45mTPA 16:45 to SFO 00:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.