tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Washington via New York: arrives on time 48%

  1. 11:15 ACK → 12:31 LGA
    B6 831 · JetBlue · 1h 16m · 82% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:45 LGA → 16:20 DCA
    DL 5709 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 35m · 61% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 05mACK 11:15 to DCA 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.