tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Charlotte Amalie via Orlando: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:01 JFK → 07:43 MCO
    B6 883 · JetBlue · 2h 42m · 75% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:50 MCO → 13:50 STT
    WN 4999 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 49mJFK 05:01 to STT 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.