tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Charlotte via Dulles: arrives on time 51%

  1. 14:51 CAE → 16:27 IAD
    UA 4229 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 36m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 IAD → 19:02 CLT
    UA 6209 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 42m · 73% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 11mCAE 14:51 to CLT 19:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.