tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Harrisburg → Detroit via Dulles: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:15 MDT → 07:13 IAD
    UA 4244 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 58m · 87% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:10 IAD → 12:44 DTW
    DL 2884 · Delta · 1h 34m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 29mMDT 06:15 to DTW 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.