tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Harrisburg → Detroit via Dulles: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:15 MDT → 07:13 IAD
    UA 4244 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 58m · 87% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 IAD → 10:14 DTW
    UA 6137 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip3h 59mMDT 06:15 to DTW 10:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.