Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Denver via Dulles: arrives on time 68%

  1. 19:52 BUF → 21:15 IAD
    UA 4270 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 23m · 82% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:23 IAD → 00:30 DEN +1 day
    UA 495 · United · 4h 07m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 38mBUF 19:52 to DEN 00:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.