tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Detroit via Dulles: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:45 TYS → 07:30 IAD
    UA 4311 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 45m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 IAD → 10:14 DTW
    UA 6137 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 29mTYS 05:45 to DTW 10:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.