Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wichita → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:00 ICT → 19:03 IAH
    UA 4316 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 2h 03m · 77% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:53 IAH → 20:42 PHX
    UA 2078 · United · 2h 49m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Wichita). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 42mICT 17:00 to PHX 20:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.