tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Myrtle Beach → Chicago via Dulles: arrives on time 61%

  1. 10:34 MYR → 12:11 IAD
    UA 4324 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 37m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:39 IAD → 17:02 ORD
    UA 1393 · United · 2h 23m · 64% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 28mMYR 10:34 to ORD 17:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.