Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Norfolk → New York via Dulles: arrives on time 33%
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19:59 ORF → 21:13 IADUA 4810 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 14m · 79% on time, 5.6% cancelled
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52m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:05 IAD → 23:30 LGAUA 3682 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 16.1% cancelled
Total trip 3h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (16.1% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip3h 31mORF 19:59 to LGA 23:30, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.