Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Charlotte via Dulles: arrives on time 42%

  1. 19:37 MHT → 21:35 IAD
    UA 4829 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 58m · 76% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:24 IAD → 23:59 CLT
    UA 6234 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 35m · 68% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 22mMHT 19:37 to CLT 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.