tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Springfield → Chicago via Houston: arrives on time 66%

  1. 15:05 SGF → 17:10 IAH
    UA 4840 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 2h 05m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 IAH → 23:15 ORD
    UA 787 · United · 2h 50m · 72% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 10mSGF 15:05 to ORD 23:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.