Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Syracuse → Charlotte via Dulles: arrives on time 55%

  1. 10:30 SYR → 11:55 IAD
    UA 4840 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 25m · 90% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:43 IAD → 14:12 CLT
    UA 6239 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 29m · 78% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip3h 42mSYR 10:30 to CLT 14:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.