tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Panama City Beach → Austin via Houston: arrives on time 53%

  1. 17:05 ECP → 19:10 IAH
    UA 4842 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 2h 05m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:18 IAH → 21:25 AUS
    UA 2621 · United · 1h 07m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 20mECP 17:05 to AUS 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.