Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Syracuse → Detroit via Dulles: arrives on time 44%

  1. 19:52 SYR → 21:20 IAD
    UA 4853 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 28m · 81% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 IAD → 23:51 DTW
    UA 3995 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 41m · 62% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip3h 59mSYR 19:52 to DTW 23:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.