Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Syracuse → Minneapolis via Dulles: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 SYR → 07:28 IAD
    UA 4860 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 28m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 IAD → 10:36 MSP
    UA 3649 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 51m · 83% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Syracuse). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 36mSYR 06:00 to MSP 10:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.