Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Rochester → Philadelphia via Dulles: arrives on time 42%
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19:54 ROC → 21:16 IADUA 4861 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 22m · 79% on time, 17.2% cancelled
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54m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:10 IAD → 23:20 PHLUA 3502 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 10m · 76% on time, 5.7% cancelled
Total trip 3h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (17.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 26mROC 19:54 to PHL 23:20, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.