Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Harrisburg → Detroit via Dulles: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:59 MDT → 20:57 IAD
    UA 4882 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 58m · 78% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 IAD → 23:51 DTW
    UA 3995 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 41m · 62% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip3h 52mMDT 19:59 to DTW 23:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.