tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albany → New York via Dulles: arrives on time 49%

  1. 10:00 ALB → 11:37 IAD
    UA 4889 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 37m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:40 IAD → 14:10 LGA
    UA 3698 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 68% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 10mALB 10:00 to LGA 14:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.