tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albany → Philadelphia via Dulles: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:50 ALB → 16:29 IAD
    UA 4942 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 39m · 63% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 IAD → 18:54 PHL
    UA 4534 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 19m · 66% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 04mALB 14:50 to PHL 18:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.