tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albany → Detroit via Dulles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 ALB → 07:35 IAD
    UA 4970 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 35m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 IAD → 10:14 DTW
    UA 6137 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 14mALB 06:00 to DTW 10:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.