tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Los Angeles via Detroit: arrives on time 57%

  1. 15:28 ATL → 17:28 DTW
    DL 1005 · Delta · 2h 00m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 DTW → 20:12 LAX
    DL 852 · Delta · 4h 52m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 44mATL 15:28 to LAX 20:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.