tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 19:30 DCA → 21:45 ATL
    DL 1007 · Delta · 2h 15m · 79% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 ATL → 23:50 XNA
    DL 4441 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 72% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 20mDCA 19:30 to XNA 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.