tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Sacramento via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:15 EWR → 10:13 SLC
    DL 1009 · Delta · 4h 58m · 81% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:35 SLC → 12:16 SMF
    DL 1423 · Delta · 1h 46m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 06mEWR 07:15 to SMF 12:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.