tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 16:31 PNS → 18:50 ATL
    DL 1013 · Delta · 1h 19m · 84% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 ATL → 22:17 MDW
    DL 1076 · Delta · 2h 02m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 46mPNS 16:31 to MDW 22:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.