tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 52%

  1. 07:00 IAD → 09:45 SEA
    DL 1015 · Delta · 5h 45m · 79% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 SEA → 13:15 ANC
    DL 922 · Delta · 3h 40m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 15mIAD 07:00 to ANC 13:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.