tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 45%

  1. 12:03 BHM → 14:09 ATL
    DL 1017 · Delta · 1h 06m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 ATL → 16:37 MCO
    DL 1150 · Delta · 1h 37m · 63% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip3h 34mBHM 12:03 to MCO 16:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.