tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:03 BHM → 14:09 ATL
    DL 1017 · Delta · 1h 06m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 ATL → 17:51 TPA
    DL 1425 · Delta · 1h 31m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 48mBHM 12:03 to TPA 17:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.