tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 12:03 BHM → 14:09 ATL
    DL 1017 · Delta · 1h 06m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:14 ATL → 18:51 TPA
    F9 2912 · Frontier · 1h 38m · 66% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 49mBHM 12:03 to TPA 18:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.