tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 18:35 MSP → 22:15 ATL
    DL 1026 · Delta · 2h 40m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 ATL → 00:53 RIC +1 day
    DL 1263 · Delta · 1h 42m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 17mMSP 18:35 to RIC 00:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.