tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Pittsburgh via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 18:35 MSP → 22:15 ATL
    DL 1026 · Delta · 2h 40m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:06 ATL → 00:52 PIT +1 day
    DL 1351 · Delta · 1h 46m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 17mMSP 18:35 to PIT 00:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.