tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 16:09 MSP → 19:46 ATL
    DL 1028 · Delta · 2h 37m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 ATL → 23:53 ORD
    DL 1199 · Delta · 2h 09m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 50mMSP 16:09 to ORD 23:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.