tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Madison via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:09 MSP → 19:46 ATL
    DL 1028 · Delta · 2h 37m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:32 ATL → 22:43 MSN
    DL 2144 · Delta · 2h 11m · 83% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 34mMSP 16:09 to MSN 22:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.