tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 16:09 MSP → 19:46 ATL
    DL 1028 · Delta · 2h 37m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:51 ATL → 22:28 SNA
    DL 826 · Delta · 4h 37m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 19mMSP 16:09 to SNA 22:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.