tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Valparaiso via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 16:09 MSP → 19:46 ATL
    DL 1028 · Delta · 2h 37m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 ATL → 20:50 VPS
    DL 882 · Delta · 1h 15m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 41mMSP 16:09 to VPS 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.